New Mexico's population decline is a pressing issue that has sparked concern among residents and experts alike. The state's population has decreased by approximately 1,200 people, ranking it fourth in the nation for population decline. This trend is particularly concerning given that New Mexico relies heavily on international immigration for population growth. The median age of New Mexico residents has risen significantly, from 27 years old in 1980 to nearly 40 today, indicating a potential aging population. This aging population, combined with a decrease in migration, could have significant economic implications for the state. Mario Oscar Garcia, an immigrant from Torreon, Mexico, shared his journey during Target 7's special investigation, "Broken Border." Garcia's story highlights the challenges faced by immigrants in New Mexico, including the lack of economic opportunities and the potential need to relocate to other states for better prospects. Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economics at Fitch Ratings, explained that nationwide immigration policies under the Trump administration have slowed population growth. Sonola noted that many states, including New Mexico, rely on international immigration for population growth. However, New Mexico's population hasn't just slowed; it has shrunk. Sonola warned that the population decrease and reduced immigration could harm New Mexico's economy, slowing growth and potentially impacting productivity and business attraction. The state's population shrank at a rate of 0.06% in 2025, placing it fourth in the U.S. for population decline. This decline is concerning, as it could lead to a further decline in economic opportunities and a potential brain drain. Garcia acknowledged that New Mexico may not be the most appealing destination for immigrants, citing the lack of economic opportunities and the potential need to relocate to other states. Sonola emphasized that New Mexico must address its hurdles to avoid reaching an "aging" state dominated by baby boomers. The state's population decline is a complex issue that requires a multifaceted approach to address the underlying causes and mitigate the potential negative impacts on the economy and residents' quality of life.
